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<P style="TEXT-ALIGN: right; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal align=right><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-GB" lang=EN-GB><FONT face="Times New Roman">22 July 2011<o:p></o:p></FONT></SPAN></P>
<P style="TEXT-ALIGN: right; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal align=right><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-GB" lang=EN-GB><o:p><FONT face="Times New Roman"> </FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-GB" lang=EN-GB><FONT face="Times New Roman">Dear
friends and colleagues,<o:p></o:p></FONT></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-GB" lang=EN-GB><o:p><FONT face="Times New Roman"> </FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="TEXT-ALIGN: center; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal align=center><FONT face="Times New Roman"><FONT size=4><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><I style="mso-bidi-font-style: normal"><U><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 14pt">North
Korean security challenges: a net assessment</SPAN></U></I></B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 14pt"> (IISS)<o:p></o:p></SPAN></FONT></FONT></P>
<P style="TEXT-ALIGN: center; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal align=center><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-GB" lang=EN-GB><o:p><FONT face="Times New Roman"> </FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-GB" lang=EN-GB><FONT face="Times New Roman">I’d
like to apprise those who follow North Korea of a major new book – published
yesterday – from the International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS) in
their Strategic Dossier series: </FONT></SPAN><FONT face="Times New Roman"><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><I style="mso-bidi-font-style: normal"><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-GB" lang=EN-GB>North Korean security challenges: a net assessment</SPAN></I></B><I style="mso-bidi-font-style: normal"><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-GB" lang=EN-GB>. </SPAN></I></FONT></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><FONT face="Times New Roman"><I style="mso-bidi-font-style: normal"><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-GB" lang=EN-GB></SPAN></I><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-GB" lang=EN-GB>More
detail and links can be found at: </SPAN></FONT><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt"><A href="http://www.iiss.org/publications/strategic-dossiers/north-korean-security-challenges-a-net-assessment/"><FONT size=4 face="Times New Roman">http://www.iiss.org/publications/strategic-dossiers/north-korean-security-challenges-a-net-assessment/</FONT></A><FONT size=4 face="Times New Roman"> *</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-GB" lang=EN-GB><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-GB" lang=EN-GB><o:p><FONT face="Times New Roman"> </FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-GB" lang=EN-GB><FONT face="Times New Roman">This
new study both updates and significantly expands IISS’s earlier Dossier: <B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><I style="mso-bidi-font-style: normal">North Korea's Weapons Programmes: A Net
Assessment</I></B>, published in 2004. Almost twice as long as its predecessor,
the new Dossier like the old one offers the most comprehensive open-source
stock-taking of the DPRK’s military capacities. As before, separate chapters are
devoted to nuclear arms; chemical and biological weapons (CBW); ballistic
missiles; the conventional military balance on the peninsula; and a history of
disarmament diplomacy. <SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN><o:p></o:p></FONT></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-GB" lang=EN-GB><o:p><FONT face="Times New Roman"> </FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-GB" lang=EN-GB><FONT face="Times New Roman">There
are also four wholly new chapters, of which only one – on Pyongyang’s
proliferation – is primarily about weapons. Two more cover domestic political
dynamics and non-military security challenges: state crime, abductions,
refugees, human rights. The final chapter looks at the prospects for and
challenges of Korean reunification, among other potential scenarios.
<o:p></o:p></FONT></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-GB" lang=EN-GB><o:p><FONT face="Times New Roman"> </FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-GB" lang=EN-GB><FONT face="Times New Roman">In sum,
this substantial work should interest not only those focused on security in the
narrow sense, but also anyone with an interest in North Korea’s dynamics and
future prospects.</FONT></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-GB" lang=EN-GB><FONT face="Times New Roman"></FONT></SPAN> </P><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-GB" lang=EN-GB><FONT face="Times New Roman"><o:p>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-GB" lang=EN-GB>This Dossier is IISS’s second
weighty contribution to DPRK studies in as many months. In May their Adelphi
series published Jonathan Pollack’s new book <I style="mso-bidi-font-style: normal">No Exit: North Korea, Nuclear Weapons and
International Security. </I>See<I style="mso-bidi-font-style: normal">
</I></SPAN><A href="http://www.iiss.org/publications/adelphi-papers/adelphis-2011/north-korea-nuclear-weapons-and-international-security/">http://www.iiss.org/publications/adelphi-papers/adelphis-2011/north-korea-nuclear-weapons-and-international-security/</A><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-GB" lang=EN-GB><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P></o:p></FONT></SPAN>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-GB" lang=EN-GB><o:p><FONT face="Times New Roman"> </FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-GB" lang=EN-GB><o:p></o:p></SPAN> </P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-GB" lang=EN-GB><FONT face="Times New Roman">Kind
regards, and happy weekends,<o:p></o:p></FONT></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-GB" lang=EN-GB><o:p><FONT face="Times New Roman"> </FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-GB" lang=EN-GB><FONT face="Times New Roman">Aidan
FC<o:p></o:p></FONT></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-GB" lang=EN-GB><o:p><FONT face="Times New Roman"> </FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-GB" lang=EN-GB><o:p><FONT size=3 face="Times New Roman"> </FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Georgia; COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 11pt">Aidan
Foster-Carter<o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><I style="mso-bidi-font-style: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Georgia; COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 11pt">Honorary Senior
Research Fellow in Sociology & Modern Korea, Leeds University, UK
<o:p></o:p></SPAN></I></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Georgia; COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 8pt"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Georgia; COLOR: black"><FONT size=3>Flat 1, 40 Magdalen
Road, Exeter, Devon, EX2 4TE, England, UK<o:p></o:p></FONT></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Georgia; COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt">T: (+44, no 0)
<SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN>07970 741307 (mobile); <SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-style: italic">01392 257753 (home)<SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN><SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN></SPAN><I style="mso-bidi-font-style: normal">Skype</I>: Aidan.Foster.Carter<SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-style: italic"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Georgia; COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-style: italic">E:
</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Georgia; COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt"><A title=mailto:afostercarter@aol.com href="mailto:afostercarter@aol.com">afostercarter@aol.com</A>, <SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN><A title=mailto:afostercarter@yahoo.com href="mailto:afostercarter@yahoo.com">afostercarter@yahoo.com</A> <SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN>W: <A title=http://www.aidanfc.net/ href="http://www.aidanfc.net/">www.aidanfc.net</A> <SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN>Twitter:
@fcaidan<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
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<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-GB" lang=EN-GB><o:p><FONT size=3 face="Times New Roman"> </FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-GB" lang=EN-GB><FONT face="Times New Roman">* IISS policy is not to name contributors, but I must
declare an interest here as but one of many hands.<o:p></o:p></FONT></SPAN></P>
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