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<div class="moz-forward-container"><font size="1">from Sang Joo Kim
<font face="Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif" color="#008040"><i><b>ICAS</b></i></font></font><br>
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<p class="MsoNormal"
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align="center"><b><i><span
style="font-size:24pt;font-family:Helvetica,sans-serif;color:rgb(0,102,0)">ICAS</span></i></b><b><i><span
style="font-size:24pt;font-family:Helvetica,sans-serif"> Polling XXII</span></i></b></p>
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<div align="center"><span><span
style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Arial,sans-serif"><a
href="http://www.icasinc.org"
target="_blank" moz-do-not-send="true">www.icasinc.org</a></span></span><span
style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Arial,sans-serif"></span><br>
<span><span
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href="http://www.icasinc.org/strategy.html" target="_blank"
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<p class="MsoNormal"
style="margin-bottom:5pt;text-align:right;line-height:normal"
align="right"><span
style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Helvetica,sans-serif">November
8, 2022</span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal"
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align="center"><span style="font-size:13.5pt"><br>
</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"
style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt;text-align:center;line-height:normal"
align="center"><span style="font-size:13.5pt">SURVEY
SHOWS</span></p>
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style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt;text-align:center;line-height:normal"
align="center"> </p>
<div align="center"><span style="font-size:14.0pt;
line-height:107%;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif"><b>US
OBLIGATIONS RISE TO THE LEVEL OF ARTICLE V
OF NATO</b> </span><br>
<span style="font-size:14.0pt;
line-height:107%;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif"></span><span
style="font-size:14.0pt;
line-height:107%;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif"><b>US-SK
ALLIANCE OUGHT TO CONSIDER THE NATO 'NUCLEAR
SHARING' IDEA</b> </span> </div>
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<div align="center"><b><span
style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Helvetica,sans-serif"> </span><span
style="font-size:14.0pt;
line-height:107%;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif">SK
NOT TO ADOPT 'INDIGENOUS NUKE DEVELOPMENT' <br>
</span></b></div>
<b> </b>
<div align="center"><b><span
style="font-size:14.0pt;
line-height:107%;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif"><span
style="font-size:14.0pt;
line-height:107%;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif">US-SK
ALLIANCE CONSIDER POSITIONING NUKE ASSETS
SURROUNDING KP</span></span></b></div>
<div align="center"><b><span
style="font-size:14.0pt;
line-height:107%;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif"><span
style="font-size:14.0pt;
line-height:107%;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif"><span
style="font-size:14.0pt;
line-height:107%;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif">JAPAN'S
MOTIVATION TO INCREASE DEFENSE BUDGET
WELCOMED <br>
</span></span></span></b></div>
<b> </b>
<div align="center"><b><span
style="font-size:14.0pt;
line-height:107%;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif"><span
style="font-size:14.0pt;
line-height:107%;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif"><span
style="font-size:14.0pt;
line-height:107%;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif"><span
style="font-size:14.0pt;line-height:107%;font-family:
"Helvetica",sans-serif">SK
SHOULD JOIN FORCES IN CASE OF TAIWAN
CONTINGENCY</span></span></span></span></b></div>
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style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt;text-align:center;line-height:normal"
align="center"><span style="font-size:14.0pt;
line-height:107%;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif"><br>
</span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal"
style="margin-bottom:.2in;text-indent:2.65pt;mso-char-indent-count:
.19"><font face="Helvetica, sans-serif"><b><span>Washington,
D.C. November 8, 2022 (</span></b><b><i><span
style="font-size: 12pt;">ICAS</span></i></b><b><span>)</span></b><span>
</span></font><span
style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Helvetica,sans-serif">—
</span><span
style="font-size:14.0pt;line-height:107%;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif">A
twenty-second new poll conducted by the <i>ICAS</i> (Institute
for Corean-American Studies) continues to
identify issues surrounding the Korean
Peninsula (KP) from a national security
standpoint of the US. </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:.2in"><span
style="font-size:14.0pt;
line-height:107%;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif">Conducted
to an <b><i>ICAS audience on the Hill</i></b>,
83.3% of the respondents believe that the U.S.
obligations under the US-SK mutual defense
treaty rise to the level of Article V of NATO.
55.6% think the US-SK Alliance ought to
consider the 'nuclear-sharing' idea akin to
the NATO style, while 33.3% do not.</span><span
style="font-size:14.0pt;line-height:107%;font-family:"Segoe
UI",sans-serif"></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:.2in"><span
style="font-size:14.0pt;
line-height:107%;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif">88.9%
of the respondents view that it is about time
to make the THAAD battery fully operational
since it was first introduced to SK in 2017,
and 55.6% do not think SK is a <i>de facto</i>
nuclear power in the eyes of NK.</span><span
style="font-size:14.0pt;
line-height:107%;font-family:"Segoe
UI",sans-serif"></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:.2in"><span
style="font-size:14.0pt;
line-height:107%;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif">50.0%
of the respondents do not agree to a notion
that SK ought to consider adopting an
"indigenous nuke development" agenda, while
38.9% agree that SK ought to do so. </span><span
style="font-size:14.0pt;line-height:107%;font-family:"Segoe
UI",sans-serif"></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:.2in"><span
style="font-size:14.0pt;
line-height:107%;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif">55.6%
of the respondents <span style="color:black">believe</span><span
style="color:blue"> </span>that the US-SK
Alliance should consider “reintroducing
tactical nukes” to SK. 38.9% do not think so.</span><span
style="font-size:14.0pt;line-height:107%;font-family: "Segoe
UI",sans-serif"></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:.2in"><span
style="font-size:14.0pt;
line-height:107%;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif">Furthermore,
61.1% of respondents believe that the US-SK
Alliance should consider positioning nuke
assets surrounding KP, while 27.8% disagree.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:.2in"><span
style="font-size:14.0pt;
line-height:107%;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif">66.7%
of the respondents are of the view that the
Extended Deterrence Strategy recently declared
by the US-SK Alliance against NK's nuclear
threat assures <i>a fortiori </i>commitment.
22.2% do not think so.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:.2in"><span
style="font-size:14.0pt;
line-height:107%;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif">72.2%
of the respondents hold a negative assessment
of the apparent fact that the current U.S.
administration's National Security Strategy
barely mentions NK's threat and any meaningful
diplomacy.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:.2in"><span
style="font-size:14.0pt;
line-height:107%;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif">94.4%
of the respondents positively assess Japan's
apparent motivation to increase its defense
budget in the coming years to ~2% of its GDP
from its current level of ~1%.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span
style="font-size:14.0pt;line-height:107%;font-family:
"Helvetica",sans-serif">77.8% of the
respondents agree that SK should join forces
with the Allies (i.e., Japan, Taiwan, US) in
case of Taiwan contingency.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span
style="font-size:14.0pt;line-height:107%;font-family:
"Helvetica",sans-serif"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"
style="margin-bottom:.2in;text-align:left"
align="left"><span
style="font-size:14.0pt;line-height:107%;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif">The
survey was conducted from October<a
name="m_6781498423522239908__Hlk96293815"
moz-do-not-send="true">9, 2022 to October
30, 2022 </a>via email with a moderate
credibility interval. Supplemental graphic
data are available on <span
class="MsoHyperlink"><span
style="color:#3C61AA"><a
href="http://www.icasinc.org/strategy.html"
target="_blank" moz-do-not-send="true"><span
style="color:#3C61AA">www.icasinc.org/strategy.html</span></a></span></span> and <span
class="MsoHyperlink"><span
style="color:#3C61AA"><a
href="https://www.icasinc.org/strategy/polling21.pptx"
target="_blank" moz-do-not-send="true"><span
style="color:#3C61AA">www.icasinc.org/strategy/polling21.pptx</span></a></span></span>.</span><span
style="font-size:14.0pt;line-height:107%;font-family:"Segoe
UI",sans-serif"></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:.2in"><span
style="font-size:14.0pt;
line-height:107%;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif">Inquiry
to <span class="MsoHyperlink"><span
style="color:#3C61AA"><a
href="mailto:ICAS@icasinc.org"
target="_blank" moz-do-not-send="true"><span
style="color:#3C61AA">ICAS@icasinc.org</span></a></span></span></span><span
style="font-size:14.0pt;line-height:107%;font-family:"Segoe
UI",sans-serif"></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"
style="margin-bottom:.2in;text-align:center"
align="center"><span
style="font-size:14.0pt;line-height:107%;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif">###</span><span
style="font-size:14.0pt;line-height:107%;font-family:"Segoe
UI",sans-serif"></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span
style="font-size:14.0pt;line-height:107%;font-family:
"Helvetica",sans-serif">About
Institute for Corean-American Studies (<i>ICAS</i>)</span><span
style="font-size:14.0pt;line-height:107%;font-family:"Segoe
UI",sans-serif"></span></p>
<br>
<p class="MsoNormal" align="left"><font size="2"><i><span
style="font-size:14.0pt;line-height:107%;
font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif">ICAS</span></i></font><span
style="font-size:14.0pt;line-height:107%;font-family: "Segoe
UI",sans-serif"><font size="2"> was
established in 1973, as a non-profit,
non-partisan, and private educational and
research organization and it is incorporated
in the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania. <i>ICAS</i> is
not an agent of any government and/or a
foreign principal, and is solely supported
by voluntary contributions. Its activities
and programs rely on the private donations
of the general public, i.e., individuals,
foundations, and corporations. <i>ICAS</i> promotes
pertinent relations and conducts appropriate
activities with a special emphasis on
multilateral relations between the United
States and Asia-Pacific rim nations. Its
membership includes individuals from varied
sectors embracing academic, corporate,
cultural, educational, international and
other related fields. <i>ICAS</i> strives to
provide public services <i>pro bono publico</i>.
</font><br>
</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" align="right"><span
style="font-size:14.0pt;line-height:107%;font-family:
"Segoe UI",sans-serif">All Rights
Reserved.<br>
</span></p>
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style="margin-bottom:0.2in;line-height:normal"><span
style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Helvetica,sans-serif"></span></p>
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