[KS] Inter Korean talks

[Rupert Atkinson]

Just wondering what views some of the more experienced people on this list may 
have concerning the upcoming talks.  

My own view:
I think that the average South Korean is under the impression that the North Koreans 
are going to be the underdogs in the upcoming talks.  However, if that were the case, 
I think it would be difficult for progress to be made.   I woulld argue that Kim Jong-il's 
recent visit to China combined with the sharp eye of Putin (should it be forthcoming) 
may give North Korea the last minute dipolomatic clout it needs to be treated as a 
real equal at the talks.  It is obvious that North Korea will expected to be treated as 
an equal, and it will only be treated as an equal if it has enough real power behind it to 
generate that respect.  So, it would seem that in order for their to be significant  
progress, there would need to be a measure of real equality (=power) that can be 
recognised by each partner.  China and Russia might be able to provide that, and 
indeed, it might be part of the recepie for success.  (But if there is disaster, it is 
these two who would be blamed).  

Is my argument sound?
Any comments? ... either privately, or the the list.

Rupert Atkinson


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